Peter Ayton (1993) Base Rate Neglect: an Inside View of Judgment?
. Psycoloquy: 4(63) Base Rate (5)
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Psycoloquy 4(63): Base Rate Neglect: an Inside View of Judgment?
BASE RATE NEGLECT: AN INSIDE VIEW OF JUDGMENT?
Commentary on Koehler on Base-Rate
London EC1V 0HB
Koehler (1993) shows that experiments purporting to show
base rate neglect do not. I consider the implications for
psychological accounts of human judgment and reflect on whether
base-rate neglect might occur in some real world situations.
Base rate fallacy, Bayes' theorem, decision making,
ecological validity, ethics, fallacy, judgment, probability.