Garth J.O. Fletcher (1994) Assessing Error in Social Judgment
. Psycoloquy: 5(10) Base Rate (10)
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Psycoloquy 5(10): Assessing Error in Social Judgment
ASSESSING ERROR IN SOCIAL JUDGMENT
Commentary on Koehler on Base-Rate
Garth J.O. Fletcher
Psychology Department
University of Canterbury
Christchurch
New Zealand
PSYC212@CSC.CANTERBURY.AC.NZ
Abstract
This commentary examines the base rate controversy in the
wider context of the work on errors and biases in social cognition,
with remarks on a theme raised by Koehler concerning the
appropriate normative model for assessing base rate usage.
Keywords
Base rate fallacy, Bayes' theorem, decision making,
ecological validity, ethics, fallacy, judgment, probability.
References
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