Joachim Krueger (1998) Theoretical Progress Requires Refined Methods and Then Some . Psycoloquy: 9(73) Social Bias (10)
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Psycoloquy 9(73): Theoretical Progress Requires Refined Methods and Then Some

THEORETICAL PROGRESS REQUIRES REFINED METHODS AND THEN SOME
Reply to Ruscio and McCauley on Krueger on Social-Bias

Joachim Krueger
Department of Psychology
Brown University, Box 1853
Providence, RI 02912
http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Psychology/faculty/krueger.hml

Joachim_Krueger@Brown.edu

Abstract

Can research on social-perceptual biases benefit from improved and diversified statistical methods? Having reached the brink of nihilism, I conclude that (a) any point-hypothesis can be rejected by null hypothesis significance testing (NHST), (b) any such hypothesis can be accepted by Bayesian inference, (c) effect size estimates are meaningful only if that meaning is imported from extra-statistical considerations, and (d) taxonomies of biases and their causes will be messy because most biases are overdetermined.

Keywords

hypothesis testing, Bayes' Rule, effect sizes, projection

References