Joachim Krueger (1998) Theoretical Progress Requires Refined Methods and Then Some
. Psycoloquy: 9(73) Social Bias (10)
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Psycoloquy 9(73): Theoretical Progress Requires Refined Methods and Then Some
THEORETICAL PROGRESS REQUIRES REFINED METHODS AND THEN SOME
Reply to Ruscio and McCauley on Krueger on Social-Bias
Joachim Krueger
Department of Psychology
Brown University, Box 1853
Providence, RI 02912
http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Psychology/faculty/krueger.hml
Joachim_Krueger@Brown.edu
Abstract
Can research on social-perceptual biases benefit from
improved and diversified statistical methods? Having reached the
brink of nihilism, I conclude that (a) any point-hypothesis can be
rejected by null hypothesis significance testing (NHST), (b) any
such hypothesis can be accepted by Bayesian inference, (c) effect
size estimates are meaningful only if that meaning is imported from
extra-statistical considerations, and (d) taxonomies of biases and
their causes will be messy because most biases are overdetermined.
Keywords
hypothesis testing, Bayes' Rule, effect sizes, projection
References
- American Psychological Association (1996) Task force on statistical inference initial report. www.apa.org/science/tfsi.html
- Hammond, K. R. (1996) Human judgment and social policy: Irreducible uncertainty, inevitable error, unavoidable injustice. Oxford University Press.
- Krueger, J. (1998a). The bet on bias: A forgone conclusion? PSYCOLOQUY 9(46) http://www.cogsci.soton.ac.uk/cgi/psyc/newpsy?9.46 ftp://ftp.princeton.edu/pub/harnad/Psycoloquy/1998.volume.9/psyc.98.9.46.social-bias.1.krueger
- Krueger, J. (1998b) On the perception of social consensus. Advances in Experimental Social Psychology 30: 163-240.
- McCauley, C. (1998) The bet on bias is cockeyed optimism. PSYCOLOQUY 9(71) http://www.cogsci.soton.ac.uk/cgi/psyc/newpsy?9.71 ftp://ftp.princeton.edu/pub/harnad/Psycoloquy/1998.volume.9/psyc.98.9.71.social-bias.9.krueger
- Ross, L., Greene, D. & House, P. (1977) The "false consensus effect": An egocentric bias in social perception and attribution processes. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 13: 279-301.
- Ruscio, J. (1998) Applying what we have learned: Understanding and correcting biased judgment. PSYCOLOQUY 9(69) http://www.cogsci.soton.ac.uk/cgi/psyc/newpsy?9.69 ftp://ftp.princeton.edu/pub/harnad/Psycoloquy/1998.volume.9/psyc.98.9.69.social-bias.7.krueger